Research brief 022

Same trades. Two drawdowns. What disappears between month-ends?

A volatility-stress strategy creates a sharp test of what an equity curve reveals—and what its measurement clock leaves out.

The idea worth investigating

Concretum Research studies buying SPY during unusually sharp volatility stress and exiting on a rebound. The mechanism combines short-lived selling pressure with a bet on recovery.

The full analysis examines the study and the practical question behind it: A volatility-stress strategy creates a sharp test of what an equity curve reveals—and what its measurement clock leaves out.

Includes a house adaptation; author findings and our results are assessed separately.

Paid analysis on Substack

See what changes the investment case.

The headline is the starting point. The subscriber analysis takes you through:

  • The daily versus month-end risk comparison
  • The signal clock and execution sensitivities
  • Leverage, costs and our implementation assessment
Read the paid analysis ↗

AI assists curation and drafting. The research status distinguishes paper reviews from house tests. Read our research approach.

New research briefs by email, free

Find your next research question.

Get the finding that caught our attention, the original paper, and the practical question it raises. Full reviews and house-test details are available with a paid subscription.