Paper Reviews
Reviews of published findings and implementation questions. These reviews do not imply a completed house replication.
Curated by Signal & Evidence. Read our research approach for how we distinguish author findings from house tests.
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Every discarded feature and revised question is part of the research history. The Axiomatic Trader brings that history into the decision.
Study: The Axiomatic Trader: Latent Regularity, Information Budgets, and the Canonical Form of a Quantitative Investment System
Research review↗019
A dependence graph constrains which company characteristics interact inside a neural model.
Study: Dependence-Informed Sparse Neural Architecture for Stock Return Prediction
Research review↗018
A study of earnings surprises asks whether company news crowds out the market news arriving alongside it.
Study: Firm–specific information processing and the delayed discovery of macroeconomic news: evidence from earnings announcement returns
Research review↗017
A richer volatility-surface model follows more than the level of the smile. The improvement depends on what is being measured.
Study: Beyond the Skew-Stickiness Ratio: Transport Geometry of Spot-Driven Variance Surface Dynamics
Research review↗016
A reconfiguration index follows which groups of stocks move together, rather than only how much the market moves.
Study: The Reconfiguration Premium: Co-movement Structure as an Unspanned Dimension of the Variance Risk Premium
Research review↗015
Entropy penalties aim to restrain unstable weights. The question is what the tracker gives up—or gains—in the process.
Study: An Entropic Factor Model for Robust Portfolio Replication
Research review↗014
A connected-market model follows rebalancing pressure beyond the fund’s own underlying asset.
Study: The Loop-Gain Matrix: Coupled Rebalancing Feedback and the Blind Spots of Scalar Stability Monitoring
Research review↗013
The MINGLE study groups stocks by the forces they respond to, then uses that map in portfolio construction.
Study: Beyond Co-Movement: Locality by Exposures Enables a Joint Factor-Graph Framework for Portfolio Diversification
Research review↗012
Correlation distance, return ranks and volatility ranks form a compact market representation. The trading rule is part of the story.
Study: Are Three Matrices All You Need To Beat the Market? Observable Matrix Dynamics for Portfolio Optimization
Research review↗011
A compact neural risk model targets the compounding penalty from volatility. The portfolio consequences deserve a closer look.
Study: Neural Network-Driven Volatility Drag Mitigation under Aggressive Leverage
Research review↗010
The futures curve contains more than its front-month slope. A white paper uses the ordering of contracts to change equity and volatility exposure.
Study: The Squid Programs: Trading the VIX Curve. Dynamic volatility using the VIX term structure.
Research review↗009
A neural estimator uses unequal stock histories without discarding the longer records. The authors report a sizeable risk difference.
Study: End-to-End Neural Shrinkage of Indefinite Pairwise Correlation Matrices for Small-Cap-Inclusive Portfolios
Research review↗008
A framework tested across 84 futures contracts separates the shape of the payoff from the market behavior behind it.
Study: The Science and Practice of Trend-Following Systems
Research review↗007
A sudden crash and a grinding bear market create different demands on protection. This paper puts puts and trend in one framework.
Study: Tail Risk Management with Puts and Trend Following: A CVaR Framework for Crashes and Drawdowns
Research review↗006
KellyBoost skips the forecast-then-optimize sequence and trains directly on wealth growth. The objective changes the bet.
Study: KellyBoost: Growth-Optimal Portfolio Construction with Gradient-Boosted Trees
Research review↗004
A Norwegian register study looks beyond the most visible executives. Which part of its information can an outside investor actually observe?
Study: Flying Below the Radar: Insider Trading by Executives Below the Top
Research review↗